Scorpi18 | Market Insights

📈 Scorpi18 portfolio returns (27 Feb. 2026):

- MONTH: -1%
- YEAR: +7%
- SINCE 2014: +767%

—————————————
👉 *exclusively for subscribers of 'Scorpi18 Investment Adviser'

⚠️🇺🇸#bonds #us #debt #history
Historically, when US government interest expenses were at peak levels, 10-year US Treasury yields typically traded around 6–7%. Today, those expenses are again at an all-time high, yet yields remain near 4%, suggesting the market may be underpricing fiscal risks.

According to TS Lombard, a rapid move toward 6–7% yields is unlikely in the near term. However, if economic growth and inflation accelerate, and markets begin reacting to rising prices rather than Federal Reserve signals, 10-year US Treasury yields could rise sharply. This scenario could begin to play out as early as May 2026.

A similar pattern could emerge in 5-year U.S. Treasury yields as well.

🌟 Subscribe

🥇 #gold #seasonality
DB: historically, January and February are good months for gold.

🌟 Scorpi18 | Investment Adviser

🇪🇺#seasonality #europe #stocks
Barclays: seasonality of European equities by sector/industry.

🌟 Scorpi18 | Investment Adviser

🇺🇸#stocks #us #seasonality
The second half of September has historically been a weak period for the US stock market. Lately, though, experts say that historical market patterns have begun to falter.

🌟 Subscribe

🇺🇸#VIX #stocks #us #history
A rare event happened recently: the US stock market volatility index (VIX) fell for four months in a row. Historically, the S&P 500 has been higher nine months later every single time after this happened.

🌟 Subscribe