DeGRAM Forex Signals and Forecast

🏆 Forecast for #GOLD
GOLD -> moving in the range
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📊 Technical Analysis
● Rebound has met triple confluence: the H4 rising-wedge apex, the red 3 300-3 350 supply, and the roof of the broader descending channel – the same zone that capped rallies on 7 & 9 May.
● Bearish divergence appears on RSI while the wedge’s base is rising toward 3 284; a 4 h close beneath it should unlock the channel mid-line/blue trend support at 3 172, then the floor near 3 100.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US data stay firm – weekly jobless claims held near 227 k and May flash PMIs beat consensus, keeping 2-yr yields parked just under 5 % and the dollar bid.
● World Gold Council notes a fifth straight week of ETF outflows as higher opportunity cost dents investment demand.

✨ Summary
Fade strength inside 3 300-3 350; wedge breakdown < 3 284 aims 3 172 → 3 100. Shorts invalidated on a sustained H4 close above 3 350.
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💡 Forecast for #EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD -> held the accumulation zone
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📊 Technical Analysis
● Two-year rising channel is intact; price just rebounded from the lower rail (RB) and punched back above the 2020-2024 red resistance trend-line, repeating the 2022 “break-retest-fixation” pattern.
● An 18-month accumulation rectangle (1.06-1.13) has resolved higher, printing a bullish weekly engulfing; the measured move points to the channel mid-band / horizontal cluster at 1.1600, then the upper rail near 1.1950.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Eurozone core CPI is stuck at 2.7 % y/y while US ISM and housing prints cooled, dragging real U.S. yields lower and narrowing the policy-rate gap priced for 2025.

✨ Summary
Long above 1.1214; breakout projects 1.16 ➜ 1.195. Risk flips only on a weekly close back below 1.108.
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🏆 Update for #GOLD
GOLD -> coming to the border of the channel
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📊 Technical Analysis
● Price has re-entered the red 3 300-3 350 supply where the upper rail of the H1 descending channel and a broken blue up-trend converge, producing consecutive long-wick rejections.
● Bearish pennant is forming beneath 3 330; a break of 3 284 (mid-band) exposes the channel floor / horizontal clusters at 3 200 and 3 100.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US May flash PMIs and durable-goods orders beat forecasts while Fed officials warned rates may stay restrictive, lifting 2-yr yields toward 5 %.
● World Gold Council reports another week of ETF outflows as stronger USD funding costs bite.

✨ Summary
Fade rallies into 3 300-3 330; targets 3 284 ➜ 3 200, stretch 3 100. Short thesis void on an hour close above 3 350.
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💡 Forecast for #EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD -> reached the upper boundary of the channel
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📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is capped by the H4 supply at 1.130-1.135 and the roof of a year-long downward channel; the latest test printed a bearish pin (red arrow).
● Inside, a smaller blue rising channel has just broken south—turning 1.128 into fresh resistance—and leaves room to the mid-channel support at 1.121, then the lower rail / 1.113.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● ECB’s Villeroy repeated that a June cut is “very likely” while Fed minutes stressed rates may stay restrictive; widening yield gap revives USD demand.

✨ Summary
Fade 1.128-1.131; targets 1.121 ➜ 1.113, extension 1.106. Short view void on a close above 1.135.
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