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Gold 4H:
Huge pullback (just when everyone was saying it wouldnt! funny how that goes...)
I am sizing up trades to the long side.
Updates currently being shared with VIP members here. (40% off still for a bit longer)
Come trade with us and get in on the action!
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- Nick
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EdgeFinder improvement! Data that has new data coming soon will now highlight in red 😎
This is useful because it allows traders to see impending new information that could potentially change scores.
If you see several red text items, that could indicate a significant score change may be pending!
This has been requested by several dedicated EdgeFinder users, and I great appreciate the suggestions.
Have a wonderful weekend traders!
- Nick
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US 10-Year Yield Is Now Testing a Ceiling from 2023
The US 10-year yield is at 4.684, creeping higher as traders wait on Warsh at Jackson Hole this morning.
Yields broke out of the war-start zone near 3.80 to 4.00 and climbed the trendline the entire way, right into the resistance that has capped them since 2023. We are testing that level now.
Yields rose after the July meeting because Warsh was seen as not offering enough concrete steps on inflation. He is running a divided Fed. He has said 2% is his firm target, no question about it, and several officials share the inflation concern.
As
VIX Now Sits Low as Retail Turns Sharply Bearish
Are we in a bubble? Most likely. Will it pop? I have no idea. But one chart to be mindful of is the VIX.
Is it low? Yes. It is at 14.43, sitting near the lows and well below the 200-day. A low VIX means markets grind higher, and that is exactly what they have done. But we all know what can happen if the VIX decides to wake up. Look at the March spike to 35 on this same chart.
Retail is not calm at all. The latest AAII survey has bearish sentiment at 44.4%, unusually high and above its average for 29 straight weeks. The bull-bear spread fell t
USDCAD Now Rejecting Resistance as the CAD Holds Its Ground
USDCAD, one of my favorite positions right now, is tapping into resistance that held nicely back in January 2026 and again in April. We tapped it and we are rejecting it as of now.
I want to see us stay below the 200-day. Right now we are just above it. But a close below it that holds would signal solid bear participation. I am targeting 1.3700 as a profit target, then trailing stops lower if it keeps trending.
The Canadian dollar is holding up quite nicely. It seems the market priced a worst case for Canada that is not showing up.
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