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- Top Setups Scanner
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- Retail Sentiment
- Economic Heatmaps
- Forex, Gold, Silver, Indices, Commodities, & Bonds Scanners
- Economic growth, Labor Market, & Seasonality data

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EdgeFinder's Retail Sentiment

With Non-Farm Payrolls on deck tomorrow, here’s a quick look at where retail is leaning.

Retail traders are heavily long in some of the clearest contrarian signals: USD/CHF (80% long), USOIL (84% long), and NASDAQ (72% long). When positioning gets this one-sided, history shows the market often squeezes the other way.

Meanwhile, sentiment in pairs like EUR/USD (40% long), GBP/USD (42% long), and USD/JPY (49% long) is more balanced — meaning tomorrow’s NFP could be the decisive driver of direction.

The big question: is retail right this time, or will NFP flip the board?

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Dow Jones – More Upside?

The Dow just broke out of a key resistance zone and is now hovering inside the level, hinting at a possible retest. If this area holds, the door opens for fresh highs on the index.

Unlike the S&P 500 or Nasdaq, the Dow is made up of companies that tend to be more sensitive to interest rates. That’s why Fed policy direction matters here more than most.

With tomorrow's NFP report looming, the jobs data could be the swing factor. A weaker print would give the Fed cover to lean harder into rate cuts, pushing financing costs lower. That type of easing cycle usually benefits smaller, rate-sensitive companies that make up the Dow — giving the index a tailwind.

On the flip side, if labor data comes in strong, rate cut bets could cool, keeping pressure on the Dow’s breakout zone.

"Nick, why are you so bullish metals and cautious stocks?"

Here's why:

DXY - Waiting for NFP

The dollar is holding firm this week, even with volatility in bonds and signs of a cooling labor market. Job openings just hit a 10-month low, underscoring why the Fed has shifted its focus squarely onto employment.

Tomorrow's NFP will be the real test. That report will set the tone for how aggressive the Fed gets with cuts in the months ahead. Markets are already pricing a near-100% chance of a September cut and about 139 bps of easing by the end of next year.

For now, price action is steady. Investors aren’t making big bets ahead of payrolls. Stronger labor data could scale back dovish pricing and give the dollar some support, while softer numbers will keep the easing trade alive.

That said, there’s a catch. A lot of easing is already priced in. The market is leaning heavily against the dollar, so even if NFP disappoints, the knee-jerk reaction lower could struggle to see much follow-through. Unless the labor print is extremely weak, the downside for the dollar is harder to stretch

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