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Scorpi18 | Market Insights

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Insights and analysis of the global financial market by investment advisor Sergio Shalamov. Note: This is not an investment advice. Chat for investors: https://t.me/+lLbjdcohKhc5MDBi Contact: @invoyager Buy ads: https://telega.io/c/scorpi18

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📈 Scorpi18 portfolio return (25 Jul. 2025):

- WEEK: +0%
- MONTH: +1%
- YEAR: +30%
- SINCE 2014: +734%

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👉 *exclusively for subscribers of 'Scorpi18 Investment Adviser'
2025-07-26T14:02:14+00:00
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🇺🇸#buyback #stocks #us
U.S. companies are actively repurchasing their own shares through buyback programs.

Historically, buyback programs have been a significant driver of S&P 500 growth (chart)

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2025-06-11T11:01:28+00:00
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🌎#fx #maro #history
many investors fear that the US dollar may continue to weaken due to rising government debt and risky fiscal policies in the US. As a result, they are willing to consider other global currencies to partially replace the dollar in their investment portfolios. Below is a classification of some of these currencies:

🔸 Cyclical currencies (#AUD, #NZD, #CAD, #SEK, #NOK, #GBP): perform well in strong equity markets but lag in downturns. Offer higher yields with greater risk and lower liquidity than #USD or #EUR. #SGD is a liquid alternative that often moves inversely to USD.

🔸 Defensive currencies (#CHF, #JPY, #CNY): hold up better during market stress with lower yields. CHF and JPY are classic safe havens, preferred for stability and capital preservation. #CNY shows low volatility against USD.

🔸 Emerging market currencies (#BRL, #MXN, #ZAR #COP): offer the highest yields but come with high volatility, low liquidity, and capital controls. They may experience sharp declines in risk-offenvironments or when country-specific factors are at play, and tend to attract mostly experienced and risk-tolerant investors.

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2025-06-10T16:35:30+00:00
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🇺🇸#USD #fx #short #sentiment
Investment assets managers have significantly ramped up their bets against the dollar, with short positions reaching record highs. Historically, such extreme levels of bearish sentiment have often marked a turning point, with the dollar index finding a bottom and staging a rebound. Currently, the dollar (DXY) looks oversold against a basket of global currencies.

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2025-05-13T14:02:47+00:00
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⚠️🇺🇸#economy #us #recession #sentiment
US companies are seeing a sharp drop in new orders. The New Orders Expectations Indicator from the regional Federal Reserve Banks has fallen to levels that typically signal an impending US recession.
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The unemployment outlook is another sign that a U.S. recession could be on the way (chart)

BCA Research warns of a 75% chance of a US recession in the next three months due to trade wars and policy uncertainties = bearish for S&P500

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2025-05-07T18:28:57+00:00
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🇺🇸#buyback #stocks #us
US companies are announcing share buybacks at a record pace.
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Since 2011, share buyback programs have been the main driver of growth in the S&P 500 (chart)

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2025-05-06T17:30:17+00:00

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