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Home ChannelsTrading & AnalysisTechnical Analysis (TA) & ToolsInvest AnalysisScorpi18 | Market Insights

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Insights and analysis of the global financial market by investment advisor Sergio Shalamov. Note: This is not an investment advice. Chat for investors: https://t.me/+lLbjdcohKhc5MDBi Contact: @invoyager Buy ads: https://telega.io/c/scorpi18

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📊 Scorpi18 portfolio return (30 May. 2025):

- WEEK: -1%
- MONTH: +1%
- YEAR: +27%
- SINCE 2014: +727%

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👉 *exclusively for subscribers of 'Scorpi18 Investment Adviser'
2025-05-31T06:53:51+00:00
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🇺🇸#USD #fx #short #sentiment
Investment assets managers have significantly ramped up their bets against the dollar, with short positions reaching record highs. Historically, such extreme levels of bearish sentiment have often marked a turning point, with the dollar index finding a bottom and staging a rebound. Currently, the dollar (DXY) looks oversold against a basket of global currencies.

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2025-05-13T14:02:47+00:00
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⚠️🇺🇸#economy #us #recession #sentiment
US companies are seeing a sharp drop in new orders. The New Orders Expectations Indicator from the regional Federal Reserve Banks has fallen to levels that typically signal an impending US recession.
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The unemployment outlook is another sign that a U.S. recession could be on the way (chart)

BCA Research warns of a 75% chance of a US recession in the next three months due to trade wars and policy uncertainties = bearish for S&P500

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2025-05-07T18:28:57+00:00
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🇺🇸#buyback #stocks #us
US companies are announcing share buybacks at a record pace.
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Since 2011, share buyback programs have been the main driver of growth in the S&P 500 (chart)

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2025-05-06T17:30:17+00:00
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⚠️🇺🇸#inflation #us #macro
Inflation in the U.S. continues to mirror the patterns of the 1970s.

The current situation bears a strong resemblance to that era - but instead of an oil embargo, the U.S. now faces restrictions on rare earth metals.

Amid ongoing trade wars, the commodities market could experience a sharp upswing similar to the 1970s. — experts
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MarketDesk: Fed's greatest fear is the resurgence of inflation, akin to the 1970s (chart)

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2025-04-24T09:12:28+00:00
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🌎#commodity #cycles #macro
MUFG: we are in the early stages of a commodities supercycle — report

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2025-04-23T16:56:49+00:00

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